Monday, April 30, 2007

Using Fibonacci 1.62 Buy Signal for ONSM


Using Fibonacci 1.62 Buy Signal for ONSM

To be a winner in this stock market, we have to find the right stock with value and the right “buy entry”. Smart money are on the upper hand where and when to pick the right stock as they are equipped with trading tools, capital, research and knowledge. They can drive the stock / market as and when they wish. They practice the right strategy in setting up buy and sell order, but we do not know what type of strategy they use and when they move the stock on the upside and the down side. We can’t beat them, but we can join them on the first day of reversal on the upside.

What sort of strategies then we want to apply in order to join them?
How can we identify the buy signal?

We knew that to make money in this stock market, we must “buy low and sell high.
However, more often, we are scared to touch the stock when the share price keep on dropping and look for another stock to play.

My previous”trading tips” spell out clearly, “buy when you are most feared or scared to touch the stock”. This is the psychological barrier that separated the 5% winners from the 95% losers in this stock market. I scanned through the stock charts on my radar screen, and feel that we can use Fibonacci 1.62 pattern for the ONSM buy entry. Remember, we will make good profit if we time correctly of our “buy entry” on the first day reversal on the upside. As usual, my disclaimer, buy at your own risk with calculated stop loss when the stock goes against your position.

“Buy Entry”

I can’t tell you exactly the price to go in until the market open. Most likely, the right entry price range from 2.45 to 2.55.

DNDN

I have talking lots about DNDN lately. We have to wait for tonight action and will monitor closely during the first half an hour. We do not know when the smart money will move this stock on the upside. We have another approximately 2 weeks from tonight awaiting approval of Provenge from FDA. The latest data I received by e-mail, June Put and Call Options is very small.

Call Strikes and Open Interest
10.00 49,014
12.50 22,349
15.00 49,225
17.50 41,927
20.00 56,825
22.50 16,594
25.00 44,336
30.00 28,548
35.00 11,915

Put Strikes and Open Interest
2.50 58,718
5.00 38,375
7.50 70,000
10.00 73,633
12.50 82,954
15.00 77,144
17.50 38,018
20.00 24,989
22.50 6,481
25.00 4,653
30.00 2,946
40.00 19,548

Stock options in May expire on May 18, 2007.

Forbes showing a doctor's efforts urging the FDA to delay the approval of Provenge. The funny thing is that open interest for the JUNE Put and Call options is very small. The interpretation of that would be that there is no expected delay in the review by speculators and investors.

Shares have traded "only" 9.65 million shares last Friday and the low for the day 15.04 that was higher than previous day of 14.94. We can expect a pick-up in the interest and trading on this probably starting tonight, the midst or end of next week.

Kenttkw,

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16 comments:

Fakir said...

Morsid,

AVNR total volumes traded 18/04 & 19/04 = 157,692,000

Total volumes traded 23/04 to 27/04 = 88,495,400

The difference of 69,197400 shares are still with traders who are still holding to sell their shares for any rally during this week.

Another theory - Buy on pull back and sell at any strength when the stock rebound

Becareful, don't get caught to become another CEO

Fakir said...

ONSM 2.42 & 2.43 is a good buy
I bought 2K 2.42 done

OSNM trading pattern, MM will push the price down in AM, the price will go up after 2 or 3 hours later, sometimes they will catch you off guard, the price shoot up to 2.60 in the afternoon. This my opinion based on my Fin 1.62.

Fakir said...

ONSM Strong Buy below 2.50 before the plane take off

morsid, kenttkw

Do you follow me

Morsid said...

Just open up and saw your comment looking at the graph look promising.. I jump to buy at 2.46 but it change to done at 2.47...got to wait.

Morsid said...

ONSM- the volume had not pick up yet ...

Fakir said...

ONSM unlike others, quite in AM trading, suddenly the price shoots up in the afternoon on many occasions. The shares have been accumulated by MM 2.45 to 2.47 before the rally begin tonight or day after. I will go in again 3 or 4K before the price go over 2.50

Fakir said...

Spelling error, should be quiet in AM trading
Resistance is at 2.50, if this is breached, the price shall reach my target by tonight at 2.60, otherwise, the the rally will be delayed to tomorrow, as stated 19 or 20 days calculated after the day low 2.20.
I prefer to go in tonight.
Now the volume Q to buy at 2.47, 7.6K

Fakir said...

I shall start to monitor CYTR tomorrow, sell off triggered last Friday, the price now - 4.15
My target entry price at 3.50 to 3.60

Fakir said...

DNDN is harboring between 15.03 to 15.33 with thin volumes. The stock have watched by many players, the smart money, broking houses, traders and Big funds.

No, they are looking at one another, who will make the move first. Once the game begin, you can;t Q to buy, must jump to Ask price. The price can shoots up to 50 cents within 5 minutes.

Fakir said...

Hmmm, MM at works, Q to sell 12.9K to scare the traders. I have a feeling, 12.9K will be snapped sooner than later.

Fakir said...

This is the first ever Fib 1.62 I applied in my trading. If successful, will do the same to other stocks.

Usually, using Fib 1.62 based on 2 major lows, it will be a significant rally that will last for weeks with consolidation in 2 to 3 days and continue the next leg of rally with new high

Fakir said...

Morsid, are still around?
Did your buy order done?
If you don't get it tonight, I'm afraid, tomorrow you have to chase at higher price.

We can't Q to buy on the first day reversal based on my experienced if we want to join MM on the same band wagon.

Morsid said...

ONSM - order done ($2.46) at 3.30am. Closing was lower and the volume still low. Focus had not been turn this stock yet.
News on ONSM complete acquisition of Infinite where $14 million = 1.38 million of ONSM shares to digest as positive moves...

Morsid said...

DNDN - break below $15 last night but push back to above $15. Looking at next support at $14.30 and current resistence at $15.30. It possible to down futher since the price is at the higher level in the range. unless it close above $15.3 the possibility to go up is higher.

Morsid said...

ONSM - Support @ $2.38 and resistence at $2.45 and close at $2.42 had to have close watch tonight in the opening.

Morsid said...

AVNR - Support @ 3.14 and close at resistance of 3.57. Looking at the graph if it move the next resistance will be $4.4. I think it worth monitoring.